It’s by far the worst line on the team; Orlando Arcia has played poorly enough that he’s lost most of his playing time to Brock Holt , and even he has a 30 wRC+. The last time he was hitting like this, he wasn’t Lorenzo Cain, star outfielder. All minor league baseball data provided by Major League Baseball Advanced Media
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His o-swing rate has risen to 25.8% and his z-swing to 64.9%. Is Cain a victim of bad luck, or has something real changed that the stats don’t pick up? Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted
The last component of batting average is BABIP, and here we’ve struck pay dirt. Home runs are hits that don’t give fielders any play on the ball, an automatic outcome not subject to the vagaries of defense and luck.
What’s happened this year? Cain wasn’t able to do that nearly as much as usual last year, in part because of a walk rate that sunk by 3.5 percent from the prior season and a strikeout rate that climbed by almost 2 percent. They’re also carrying roughly 20 feet further than they did last year despite similar exit velocities.
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